Quote from: BellagioOwner on December 24, 2016, 12:35:40 AM
Ah yes, what i was thinking was in the beginning of the session when only a few numbers has hit, the winrate is high as we bet a lot numbers again & again but after like 100 numbers the "advantage" is gone as its basicly a 50% straight win/loss with the average 18. Thus also being very vulnerable to streaking high numbers like 24, 19, 36, 29, 27 or low streaks like 8, 14, 13, 2, 4 as yes perhaps we would eventually get the average up/down to catch the numbers in the streak, but because of the many previous numbers it'll move slow like 18,5 to 19,5 to 21 etc and the many losses eats a large chunk of our bankroll.
So the random idea was try to keep the initial postive momentum where we only use the average of few numbers in the hope to "catch" more of those scary streaks. Like the most simplistic one is just to average the last 2 known numbers. The swings/bets would then be high aka one moment betting 1-25, the next 12-36 and so on. Best is if we get like 34, 29, 35, 19, 24 we wont win on the first 1-3 numbers but we should at least catch the last 2-3 numbers because the average gets so high that it manage to "catch up" with the momentum of the numbers. At the same time this also narrows down the "death pattern" something like continually lower/higher number streaks .. aka 16, 11, 4, 2, 1 or 20, 27, 31, 34, 35 that i consider an extremely rare event.
All in theory of cause & totally not tested. Not entirely sure where the "sweet spot" is either. Like just the average of 2 is clearly the most expensive bet as well & you could argue that the average of the last 4, 6 or 8 might be cheaper especially if the wheel you play at never seem to do high/low streaks etc.
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I don't really understand what you mean here and it looks important. Feel free to explain. If you mean that after many spins the average sticks to 18 so it is mainly high/low, I must clarify that once average reaches 17.5-18.5 (experimenting with 17-19 for smaller need of stoploss) I reset and start again over until the new spins reach again the desired average.
Sounds interesting. You mean ignoring the older spins though? Not sure I follow you
I do the same to save some betting time. I bet 12 units on completed dozens or 6 units on completed lines. It doesn't take much time the average. If anyone is interested I have make on excel. I just type the number value spun and it shows the new average of all the spins together
I don't really understand what you mean here and it looks important. Feel free to explain. If you mean that after many spins the average sticks to 18 so it is mainly high/low, I must clarify that once average reaches 17.5-18.5 (experimenting with 17-19 for smaller need of stoploss) I reset and start again over until the new spins reach again the desired average.
Sounds interesting. You mean ignoring the older spins though? Not sure I follow you
I do the same to save some betting time. I bet 12 units on completed dozens or 6 units on completed lines. It doesn't take much time the average. If anyone is interested I have make on excel. I just type the number value spun and it shows the new average of all the spins together
Ah yes, what i was thinking was in the beginning of the session when only a few numbers has hit, the winrate is high as we bet a lot numbers again & again but after like 100 numbers the "advantage" is gone as its basicly a 50% straight win/loss with the average 18. Thus also being very vulnerable to streaking high numbers like 24, 19, 36, 29, 27 or low streaks like 8, 14, 13, 2, 4 as yes perhaps we would eventually get the average up/down to catch the numbers in the streak, but because of the many previous numbers it'll move slow like 18,5 to 19,5 to 21 etc and the many losses eats a large chunk of our bankroll.
So the random idea was try to keep the initial postive momentum where we only use the average of few numbers in the hope to "catch" more of those scary streaks. Like the most simplistic one is just to average the last 2 known numbers. The swings/bets would then be high aka one moment betting 1-25, the next 12-36 and so on. Best is if we get like 34, 29, 35, 19, 24 we wont win on the first 1-3 numbers but we should at least catch the last 2-3 numbers because the average gets so high that it manage to "catch up" with the momentum of the numbers. At the same time this also narrows down the "death pattern" something like continually lower/higher number streaks .. aka 16, 11, 4, 2, 1 or 20, 27, 31, 34, 35 that i consider an extremely rare event.
All in theory of cause & totally not tested. Not entirely sure where the "sweet spot" is either. Like just the average of 2 is clearly the most expensive bet as well & you could argue that the average of the last 4, 6 or 8 might be cheaper especially if the wheel you play at never seem to do high/low streaks etc.
Continue reading...